What will the next 4-8 years look like for health care?

With a presidential election coming, it might pay to get ready for the next “era” in health care. Regardless of whether our next president is a Democrat or Republican, I believe a strong focus on cost control will be an effective strategy. Here’s why:

If Republicans win the white house, one stated goal is to repeal Obamacare. Rather than dig in and fight for another cycle, Democrats should consider embracing a strong cost control approach as a way to blunt the attack. If Republicans see a pathway to budgetary control even with Obamacare structurally in place, the more moderate elements in the party might accept a future of market based reforms instead of legislative reforms. If Democrats ignore the need to control costs, they can look forward to attack after attack on the legal foundations of the law itself. And yes, continued escalation of costs does indeed threaten the entire economy.

Now if Democrats win the white house, they will have an opportunity to embed key features of Obamacare deeper into the fabric of our society. In doing so, they will either do something that is great in the long term, or ruinous. If they ignore the need to control costs, and instead allow an entitlement to spread wider and wider, while not reining in the providers of these services, other important national needs will be squeezed out- or our taxes will rise to punishing levels- or our debt will increase accordingly. A Democratic administration will need to ensure that the law works economically- not just socially.

So regardless of who wins the next election, the next 4-8 years in health care should focus very closely, and aggressively, on costs.

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