A Brief Comment on the Ryan Medicare Plan

Medicare is too expensive and becoming more unsustainable every day.  Congress has also demonstrated that they will bow to special interests before implementing what they have already passed- the so-called “doc fix”, whereby reimbursement cuts to physicians that are already mandated by law are deferred, year after year.

One approach is the Ryan plan, named after Representative Paul Ryan of Wisconsin.  Without delving into the details of the plan, which are debated hotly by very partisan commentators, one great flaw in the plan appears to have escaped comment:

That is, the notion that physicians will compete for patients, thereby reducing costs.

This assumption is deeply flawed for one simple reason- there is a well documented shortage of physicians.  Economics 101, and the basic law of supply and demand, teaches us that if the supply is low, the price is correspondingly high.

Physicians will never have to compete aggressively for patients (the Ryan Plan assumes that they will) as long as there is a shortage of physicians.  Rather, patients will have to chase physicians and endure long wait times to get an appointment.  Physicians will continue to raise fees, not lower them, and they will threaten to stop seeing patients whenever their fees are reduced- hence the “doc fix”, which happens year after year.

If Medicare is changed to a voucher system, as Rep. Ryan proposes, seniors will be at the mercy of physicians, who are in short supply, and who will retain any negotiating leverage as long as there is a shortage of physicians.

Until we are able to address the shortage of physicians (train more and/or allow the greater use of nurse practitioners, midwives, pharmacists and other “physician extenders”), it is wrong to place seniors in this ruinous position.

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